Pavlovich vs Aspinall

Who won Pavlovich vs Aspinall?

Tom Aspinall beat Sergei Pavlovich by knockout in the 1st round during the co-main event of UFC 295, on Saturday 11th November 2023 at Madison Square Garden in New York City.

The fight was scheduled to take place over 5 rounds in the Heavyweight division, which meant the weight limit was 265 pounds (18.9 stone or 120.2 KG).

This contest was for the vacant UFC Heavyweight championship.

Pavlovich vs Aspinall stats

Sergei Pavlovich stepped into the octagon with a record of 18 wins, 1 loss and 0 draws, 15 of those wins coming by the way of knock out.

Tom Aspinall made his way to the cage with a record of 13 wins, 3 losses and 0 draws, 10 of those wins coming by knock out and 3 by submission.

This was Sergei Pavlovich's 10th fight in the UFC, having made his debut for the promotion in 2018. Tom Aspinall marked his 9th fight for them, having made his own debut for the promotion in 2020.

Sergei Pavlovich's UFC record stood at 7-3-0, while Tom Aspinall's came in at 8-1-0.

The stats suggested Pavlovich had a slight advantage in power over Aspinall, with a 83% knock out percentage over Aspinall's 77%.

If the fight went to the ground, their records suggested Aspinall had a large advantage over Pavlovich, boasting a 23% submission rate over Pavlovich's 0%.

Sergei Pavlovich was the older man by 1 year, at 33 years old.

Aspinall had a height advantage of 2 inches over Pavlovich. Despite this, he had a 6-inch reach advantage.

Pavlovich was the more experienced professional fighter, having had 3 more fights, and made his debut in 2014, 7 days later than Aspinall, whose first professional fight was in 2014. He had fought 13 more professional rounds, 34 to Aspinall's 21.

Pavlovich vs Aspinall form

Pavlovich had beaten 3 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 2 of them, going to the judges once.

In his last fight leading up to this contest, he had won against Jairzinho Rozenstruik at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov on 1st February 2025 by unanimous decision in their 3 round contest at Kingdom Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

Previous to that, he had lost to Alexander Volkov at UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov on 22nd June 2024 by unanimous decision in their 3 round contest at Kingdom Arena, Riyadh.

Going into that contest, he had been beaten by Tom Aspinall at UFC 295 on 11th November 2023 by knockout in the 1st round in their UFC Interim Heavyweight championship fight at Madison Square Garden, New York City, United States.

Before that, he had beaten Curtis Blaydes at UFC Fight Night – Pavlovich vs. Blaydes on 22nd April 2023 by knockout in the 1st round at UFC Apex, Las Vegas.

He had defeated Tai Tuivasa at UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland on 3rd December 2022 by knockout in the 1st round at Amway Center, Orlando.

Aspinall had won all 5 of his most recent fights, stopping 4opponents and going the distance once.

In his last fight before this contest, he was victorious against Sergey Spivac at UFC Vegas 36 on 4th September 2021 by knockout in the 1st round at UFC APEX, Las Vegas, United States.

Previous to that, he had won against Andrei Arlovski at UFC Vegas 19 on 20th February 2021 by submission in the 2nd round at UFC APEX, Las Vegas.

Going into that contest, he had beaten Alan Baudot at UFC Fight Island 5 on 10th October 2020 by knockout in the 1st round at UFC Fight Island, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.

Before that, he had defeated Mickael Ben Hamouda at Cage Warriors 107 on 28th September 2019 by knockout in the 1st round at Exhibition Centre, Liverpool, England.

He was victorious against Sofiane Boukichou at Cage Warriors 101 on 16th February 2019 by knockout in the 1st round at Exhibition Centre, Liverpool.

Activity check

In terms of activity leading into the fight, Sergei Pavlovich had been fighting more than Tom Aspinall.

Going to this contest, Sergei Pavlovich had last fought 5 months and 3 days ago, while Tom Aspinall's last outing had been 3 years and 10 months ago.

Pavlovich's last 5 fights had come over a period of 2 years, 7 months and 1 day, meaning he had been fighting on average every 6 months and 7 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 9 rounds, meaning that they had lasted 1.8 rounds on average.

Aspinall's last 5 fights had come over a period of 6 years, 4 months and 18 days, meaning he had been fighting on average every 1 year, 3 months and 11 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 6 rounds, meaning that they had lasted 1.2 rounds on average.

What were the odds on Pavlovich vs Aspinall?

Sergei Pavlovich was a 13/5 (+260) underdog going into the contest, while Tom Aspinall made his way into the ring at 7/25 (-360) with oddsmakers.