Bookmakers made Amanda Ribas a favourite against Mackenzie Dern when they face off in their fight on Saturday 11th January 2025 at UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2.
She is currently 1/2 (-200) to win the fight outright, while you can get 8/5 (+160) on Mackenzie Dern if you fancy the small upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 64% chance of Ribas winning while giving Dern a 36% chance.
Ribas opened as the favourite at 1/2 (-200).
Dern opened at 17/10 (+170) which has got wider by -9/10 (+110).
The fight is scheduled for 5 rounds in the Women’s Strawweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 115 pounds (8.05 stones or 52.27 KG) on the day of the weigh-in.
Full UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 Odds
Main Event
Amanda Ribas is currently 1/2 (-200) to beat Mackenzie Dern, while Dern is currently 8/5 (+160) to win if you fancy the small upset.
Carlston Harris is made a favourite at 17/20 (-120) to come out the victor in a fight against Santiago Ponzinibbio, while Ponzinibbio is currently 23/25 (-110) to win if you fancy the slight upset.
Main Card
Cesar Almeida sits at 1/3 (-300) to win against Abdul Razak Alhassan, while Alhassan is currently 9/4 (+230) to win if you fancy the upset.
Roman Kopylov is marked at 4/11 (-280) to be victorious against Chris Curtis, while Curtis is currently 41/20 (+200) to win if you fancy the upset.
Austin Bashi is currently 11/25 (-230) to defeat Christian Rodriguez, while Rodriguez is currently 9/5 (+180) to win if you fancy the upset.
Uros Medic is made a favourite at 4/9 (-230) to beat Punahele Soriano, while Soriano is currently 17/10 (+170) to win if you fancy the upset.
Prelims
Jose Johnson sits at 12/25 (-210) to come out the victor in a fight against Felipe Bunes, while Bunes is currently 13/8 (+160) to win if you fancy the small upset.
Marco Tulio Silva is marked at 2/11 (-560) to win against Ihor Potieria, while Potieria is currently 19/5 (+380) to win if you fancy the big upset.
Thiago Moises is currently 13/25 (-190) to be victorious against Trey Ogden, while Ogden is currently 31/20 (+150) to win if you fancy the small upset.
Ernesta Kareckaite is made a favourite at 7/20 (-290) to defeat Nicolle Caliari, while Caliari is currently 43/20 (+220) to win if you fancy the upset.
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov sits at 21/50 (-240) to beat Bruno Lopes, while Lopes is currently 37/20 (+190) to win if you fancy the upset.
Fatima Kline is marked at 1/8 (-770) to come out the victor in a fight against Viktoriya Dudakova, while Dudakova is currently 27/5 (+540) to win if you fancy the big upset.
Nurullo Aliev is currently 1/5 (-500) to win against Yanal Ashmoz, while Ashmoz is currently 73/20 (+370) to win if you fancy the big upset.
Dern vs Ribas Head To Head
Mackenzie Dern steps into the octagon with a record of 14 wins, 5 losses and 0 draws and 7 by submission.
Amanda Ribas will make her way to the cage with a record of 12 wins, 5 losses and 0 draws, 3 of those wins coming by knock out and 4 by submission.
The stats suggest Ribas has a large advantage in power over Dern, boasting a 25% knock out percentage over Dern's 0%.
Mackenzie Dern is the same age as Amanda Ribas, at 31 years old.
Dern has a height advantage of 1 inch over Ribas. Despite this, Ribas has a 3-inch reach advantage.
Dern is arguably the more experienced fighter, having had 2 more fights, and made her debut in 2016, 2 years and 4 months later than Ribas, whose first professional fight was in 2014. She has fought 11 more professional rounds, 50 to Ribas' 39.
Dern vs Ribas betting form
Mackenzie Dern has beaten 2 of her last 5 opponents.
In her last fight, she won against Lupita Godinez at UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov on 3rd August 2024 by unanimous decision in their 3 round contest at Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.
Previous to that, she had lost to Amanda Lemos at UFC 298 on 17th February 2024 by unanimous decision in their 3 round contest at Honda Center, Anaheim, United States.
Going into that contest, she had been beaten by Jessica Andrade at UFC 295 on 11th November 2023 by knockout in the 2nd round at Madison Square Garden, New York City.
Before that, she had beaten Angela Hill at UFC Fight Night – Pennington vs. Aldana 2 on 20th May 2023 by unanimous decision in their 5 round contest at UFC Apex, Las Vegas.
She had been defeated by Yan Xiaonan at UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan on 1st October 2022 by majority decision in their 5 round contest at UFC Apex, Las Vegas.
Ribas has beaten 2 of her last 5 opponents, stopping 1 of them, going the distance once.
In her last fight, she lost to Rose Namajunas at UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas on 23rd March 2024 by unanimous decision in their 5 round contest at UFC Apex, Las Vegas, United States.
Previous to that, she had defeated Luana Pinheiro at UFC Fight Night – Allen vs Craig on 18th November 2023 by knockout in the 3rd round at UFC Apex, Las Vegas.
Going into that contest, she had been beaten by Maycee Barber at UFC Fight Night – Emmett vs. Topuria on 24th June 2023 by knockout in the 2nd round at : VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena, Jacksonville.
Before that, she was victorious against Viviane Araujo at UFC 285 on 4th March 2023 by unanimous decision in their 3 round contest at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas.
She had been defeated by Katlyn Chookagian at UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić on 14th May 2022 by split decision in their 3 round contest at UFC APEX, Las Vegas.
Who's been more active?
In terms of recent activity, Mackenzie Dern has been fighting more than Amanda Ribas.
Mackenzie Dern last fought 5 months and 2 days ago, while Amanda Ribas' last outing was 9 months and 13 days ago.
Dern's last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 3 months and 4 days, meaning she has been fighting on average every 5 months and 14 days. In those fights, she fought a total of 18 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 3.6 rounds on average.
Ribas' last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 7 months and 22 days, meaning she has been fighting on average every 6 months and 12 days. In those fights, she fought a total of 16 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 3.2 rounds on average.
What’s the Latest Time I Can Bet on Dern vs Ribas Pre Fight?
The fighters are expected to walk out at around 2:40 AM UTC , which is 9:40 PM EST or 6:40 PM PST on the West Coast of America, or 2:40 AM GMT in the UK.
