Bookmakers made Joaquin Buckley a strong favourite against Kamaru Usman when they meet in their bout on Saturday 14th June 2025 at UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley.
He is currently 4/9 (-230) to win the bout outright, while you can get 7/4 (+180) on Kamaru Usman if you fancy the upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 66% chance of Buckley winning while giving Usman a 34% chance.
Buckley opened as the favourite at 4/9 (-230).
Usman opened at 7/4 (+180).
The fight is scheduled for 5 rounds in the Welterweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 170 pounds (11.9 stones or 77.27 KG) on the day of the weigh-in.
Full UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley Odds
Main Event
Joaquin Buckley is currently 4/9 (-230) to beat Kamaru Usman, while Usman is currently 7/4 (+180) to win if you fancy the upset.
Rose Namajunas is made a favourite at 1/2 (-200) to come out the victor in a fight against Miranda Maverick, while Maverick is currently 6/4 (+150) to win if you fancy the small upset.
Main Card
Oumar Sy sits at 1/4 (-400) to win against Alonzo Menifield, while Menifield is currently 11/4 (+280) to win if you fancy the upset.
Edmen Shahbazyan is marked at 1/2 (-200) to be victorious against Andre Petroski, while Petroski is currently 6/4 (+150) to win if you fancy the small upset.
Michael Chiesa is currently 4/11 (-280) to defeat Court McGee, while McGee is currently 2/1 (+200) to win if you fancy the upset.
Prelims
Tereza Bleda is made a favourite at 1/2 (-200) to beat Jamey-Lyn Horth Wessels, while Wessels is currently 6/4 (+150) to win if you fancy the small upset.
Jose Ochoa sits at 4/5 (-130) to come out the victor in a fight against Cody Durden, while Durden is currently 20/21 (-110) to win if you fancy the slight upset.
Usman vs Buckley Head To Head
Kamaru Usman steps into the octagon with a record of 20 wins, 4 losses and 0 draws, 9 of those wins coming by the way of knock out and 1 by submission.
Joaquin Buckley will make his way to the cage with a record of 21 wins, 6 losses and 0 draws, 15 of those wins coming by knock out.
The stats suggest Buckley has a large advantage in power over Usman, boasting a 71% knock out percentage over Usman's 45%.
Kamaru Usman is the older man by 6 years, at 37 years old.
Usman has a height advantage of 2 inches over Buckley. This also extends to a 2-inch reach advantage.
Usman is arguably the more experienced fighter, having had 3 fewer fights, and made his debut in 2012, 1 year and 9 months earlier than Buckley, whose first professional fight was in 2014. He has fought 15 more professional rounds, 76 to Buckley's 61.
Usman vs Buckley betting form
Usman has beaten 2 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 1 of them, going to the judges once.
In his last fight, he lost to Khamzat Chimaev at UFC 294 on 21st October 2023 by majority decision in their 3 round contest at Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.
Previous to that, he had been beaten by Leon Edwards at UFC 286 on 18th March 2023 by majority decision in their UFC Welterweight championship fight at o2 Arena, London, United Kingdom.
Going into that contest, he had been defeated by Leon Edwards at UFC 278 on 20th August 2022 by knockout in the 5th round in their UFC Welterweight championship fight at Vivint Arena, Salt Lake City, United States.
Before that, he had won against Colby Covington at UFC 268 on 6th November 2021 by unanimous decision in their UFC Welterweight championship fight at Madison Square Garden, New York City.
He had beaten Jorge Masvidal at UFC 261 on 24th April 2021 by knockout in the 2nd round in their UFC Welterweight championship fight at VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena, Jacksonville.
Buckley has won all 5 of his most recent fights, stopping 3opponents and going the distance twice.
In his last fight, he defeated Colby Covington at UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley on 14th December 2024 by knockout in the 3rd round at Amalie Arena, Tampa, United States.
Previous to that, he was victorious against Stephen Thompson at UFC 307 on 5th October 2024 by knockout in the 3rd round at Vivint Arena, Salt Lake City.
Going into that contest, he had won against Nursulton Ruziboev at UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento on 11th May 2024 by unanimous decision in their 3 round contest at Enterprise Center, St. Louis.
Before that, he had beaten Vicente Luque at UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot on 30th March 2024 by knockout in the 2nd round at Boardwalk Hall, Atlantic City.
He had defeated Alex Morono at UFC Fight Night – Green vs Dawson on 7th October 2023 by unanimous decision in their 3 round contest at UFC Apex, Las Vegas.
Who's been more active?
In terms of recent activity, Joaquin Buckley has been fighting more than Kamaru Usman.
Kamaru Usman last fought 1 year, 6 months and 11 days ago, while Joaquin Buckley's last outing was 4 months and 18 days ago.
Usman's last 5 fights have come over a period of 4 years and 8 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 9 months and 20 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 20 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 4 rounds on average.
Buckley's last 5 fights have come over a period of 1 year, 6 months and 25 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 3 months and 24 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 14 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 2.8 rounds on average.
