Bookmakers made Ilia Topuria a strong favourite against Charles Oliveira when they come head-to-head in their clash on Saturday 28th June 2025 at UFC 317.
He is currently 1/4 (-400) to win the clash outright, while you can get 11/4 (+280) on Charles Oliveira if you fancy the upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 75% chance of Topuria winning while giving Oliveira a 25% chance.
Topuria opened as the favourite at 1/4 (-400).
Oliveira opened at 11/4 (+280).
The fight is scheduled for 5 rounds in the Lightweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 155 pounds (10.85 stones or 70.45 KG) on the day of the weigh-in.
This contest is for the vacant UFC Lightweight championship.
Full UFC 317 Odds
Main Event
Ilia Topuria is currently 1/4 (-400) to beat Charles Oliveira, while Oliveira is currently 11/4 (+280) to win if you fancy the upset.
Main Card
Renato Moicano is made a favourite at 8/15 (-190) to come out the victor in a fight against Beneil Dariush, while Dariush is currently 6/4 (+150) to win if you fancy the small upset.
Topuria vs Oliveira Head To Head
Ilia Topuria steps into the octagon with an undefeated record of 16 wins, zero losses and 0 draws, 6 of those wins coming by the way of knock out and 8 by submission.
Charles Oliveira will make his way to the cage with a record of 35 wins, 10 losses and 0 draws, 10 of those wins coming by knock out and 21 by submission.
The stats suggest Topuria has a slight advantage in power over Oliveira, with a 38% knock out percentage over Oliveira's 29%.
Ilia Topuria is the younger man by 7 years, at 28 years old.
Oliveira has a height advantage of 3 inches over Topuria. This also extends to a 5-inch reach advantage.
Topuria is the less experienced professional fighter, having had 29 fewer fights, and made his debut in 2015, 7 years later than Oliveira, whose first professional fight was in 2008. He has fought 56 less professional rounds, 28 to Oliveira's 84.
Topuria vs Oliveira betting form
Topuria remains undefeated as a professional, stopping 3 of his last 5 opponents.
In his last fight, he won against Max Holloway at UFC 308 on 26th October 2024 by knockout in the 3rd round in their UFC Featherweight championship fight at Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.
Previous to that, he had beaten Alexander Volkanovski at UFC 298 on 17th February 2024 by knockout in the 2nd round in their UFC Featherweight championship fight at Honda Center, Anaheim, United States.
Going into that contest, he had defeated Josh Emmett at UFC Fight Night – Emmett vs. Topuria on 24th June 2023 by unanimous decision in their 5 round contest at : VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena, Jacksonville.
Before that, he was victorious against Bryce Mitchell at UFC 282 on 10th December 2022 by submission in the 2nd round at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas.
He had won against Jai Herbert at UFC Fight Night London on 19th March 2022 by knockout in the 2nd round at 02 Arena, London, United Kingdom.
Oliveira has beaten 3 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 1 of them, going the distance twice.
In his last fight, he defeated Michael Chandler at UFC 309 on 16th November 2024 by unanimous decision in their 5 round contest at Madison Square Garden, New York City, United States.
Previous to that, he had lost to Arman Tsarukyan at UFC 300 on 13th April 2024 by split decision in their 3 round contest at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas.
Going into that contest, he had defeated Beneil Dariush at UFC 289 on 10th June 2023 by knockout in the 1st round at Rogers Arena, Vancouver, Canada.
Before that, he had been beaten by Islam Makhachev at UFC 280 on 22nd October 2022 by submission in the 2nd round in their UFC Lightweight championship fight at Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.
He was victorious against Justin Gaethje at UFC 274 on 7th May 2022 by submission in the 1st round in their UFC Lightweight championship fight at Jeunesse Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Who's been more active?
In terms of recent activity, Charles Oliveira has been fighting more than Ilia Topuria.
Ilia Topuria last fought 6 months and 19 days ago, while Charles Oliveira's last outing was 5 months and 29 days ago.
Topuria's last 5 fights have come over a period of 3 years, 1 month and 26 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 7 months and 18 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 14 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 2.8 rounds on average.
Oliveira's last 5 fights have come over a period of 3 years and 8 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 7 months and 8 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 12 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 2.4 rounds on average.
