Bookmakers made Belal Muhammad a strong favourite against Jack Della Maddalena when they meet in their bout on Saturday 10th May 2025 at UFC 315.
He is currently 7/20 (-290) to win the bout outright, while you can get 43/20 (+220) on Jack Della Maddalena if you fancy the upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 70% chance of Muhammad winning while giving Maddalena a 30% chance.
Muhammad opened as the favourite at 2/5 (-250) however, that price has now got wider by -19/20 (+110).
Maddalena opened at 19/10 (+190) which has shorten by 5/-4 (+80).
The fight is scheduled for 5 rounds in the Welterweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 170 pounds (11.9 stones or 77.27 KG) on the day of the weigh-in.
This contest is for the UFC Welterweight championship.
Full UFC 315 Odds
Main Event
Belal Muhammad is currently 7/20 (-290) to beat Jack Della Maddalena, while Maddalena is currently 43/20 (+220) to win if you fancy the upset.
Manon Fiorot is made a favourite at 10/13 (-130) to come out the victor in a fight against Valentina Shevchenko, while Shevchenko is currently 1/1 (+100) to win if you fancy the slight upset.
Main Card
Natalia Silva sits at 1/2 (-200) to win against Alexa Grasso, while Grasso is currently 8/5 (+160) to win if you fancy the small upset.
Jose Aldo is marked at 11/20 (-180) to be victorious against Aiemann Zahabi, while Zahabi is currently 29/20 (+150) to win if you fancy the small upset.
Muhammad vs Maddalena Head To Head
Belal Muhammad steps into the octagon with a record of 24 wins, 3 losses and 0 draws, 5 of those wins coming by the way of knock out and 1 by submission.
Jack Della Maddalena will make his way to the cage with a record of 17 wins, 2 losses and 0 draws, 12 of those wins coming by knock out and 2 by submission.
The stats suggest Maddalena has a massive power advantage over Muhammad, boasting a 71% knock out percentage over Muhammad's 21%.
Belal Muhammad is the older man by 8 years, at 36 years old.
Maddalena has a 2-inch reach advantage.
Muhammad is the more experienced professional fighter, having had 8 more fights, and made his debut in 2012, 3 years and 6 months earlier than Maddalena, whose first professional fight was in 2016. He has fought 50 more professional rounds, 84 to Maddalena's 34.
Muhammad vs Maddalena betting form
Muhammad has won all 5 of his most recent fights, stopping 1 opponent and going to the judges 4 times.
In his last fight, he won against Leon Edwards at UFC 304 – Manchester on 27th July 2024 by unanimous decision in their UFC Welterweight championship fight at Co-op Live Arena, Manchester, United Kingdom.
Previous to that, he had beaten Gilbert Burns at UFC 288 on 6th May 2023 by unanimous decision in their 5 round contest at Prudential Center, Newark, United States.
Going into that contest, he had defeated Sean Brady at UFC 280 on 22nd October 2022 by knockout in the 2nd round at Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.
Before that, he was victorious against Vicente Luque at UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad 2 on 16th April 2022 by unanimous decision in their 5 round contest at UFC APEX, Las Vegas, United States.
He had won against Stephen Thompson at UFC Fight Night on 18th December 2021 by unanimous decision in their 3 round contest.
Maddalena has won all 5 of his most recent fights, stopping 2opponents and going the distance 3 times.
In his last fight, he defeated Gilbert Burns at UFC 299 on 9th March 2024 by knockout in the 3rd round at Kaseya Center, Miami, United States.
Previous to that, he had defeated Kevin Holland at UFC Fight Night – Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 on 16th September 2023 by split decision in their 3 round contest at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas.
Going into that contest, he was victorious against Bassil Hafez at UFC Fight Night – Holm vs. Bueno Silva on 15th July 2023 by split decision in their 3 round contest at UFC Apex, Las Vegas.
Before that, he had won against Randy Brown at UFC 284 on 11th February 2023 by submission in the 1st round at RAC Arena, Perth, Western Australia.
He had beaten Danny Roberts at UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak on 19th November 2022 by knockout in the 1st round at UFC Apex, Las Vegas, United States.
Who's been more active?
In terms of recent activity, Jack Della Maddalena has been fighting more than Belal Muhammad.
Belal Muhammad last fought 8 months and 29 days ago, while Jack Della Maddalena's last outing was 1 year, 1 month and 16 days ago.
Muhammad's last 5 fights have come over a period of 3 years, 4 months and 7 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 8 months and 1 day. In those fights, he fought a total of 20 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 4 rounds on average.
Maddalena's last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 5 months and 6 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 5 months and 26 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 11 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 2.2 rounds on average.
What’s the Latest Time I Can Bet on Muhammad vs Maddalena Pre Fight?
The fighters are expected to walk out at around 4:25 AM UTC , which is 12:25 AM EST or 9:25 PM PST on the West Coast of America, or 5:25 AM BST in the UK.
