Bookmakers made Islam Makhachev a big favourite against Arman Tsarukyan when they square off in their contest on Saturday 18th January 2025 at UFC 311.
He is currently 1/4 (-400) to win the contest outright, while you can get 3/1 (+300) on Arman Tsarukyan if you fancy the big upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 77% chance of Makhachev winning while giving Tsarukyan a 23% chance.
Makhachev opened as the favourite at 11/50 (-450) however, that price has shortened by -103/100 (+100).
Tsarukyan opened at 7/2 (+350) which has got wider by 1/-2 (+200).
The fight is scheduled for 5 rounds in the Lightweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 155 pounds (10.85 stones or 70.45 KG) on the day of the weigh-in.
This contest is for the UFC Lightweight championship.
Full UFC 311 Odds
Main Event
Islam Makhachev is currently 1/4 (-400) to beat Arman Tsarukyan, while Tsarukyan is currently 3/1 (+300) to win if you fancy the big upset.
Umar Nurmagomedov is made a favourite at 33/100 (-300) to come out the victor in a fight against Merab Dvalishvili, while Dvalishvili is currently 12/5 (+240) to win if you fancy the upset.
Main Card
Jiri Prochazka sits at 10/13 (-130) to win against Jamahal Hill, while Hill is currently 26/25 (+100) to win if you fancy the slight upset.
Kevin Holland is marked at 16/25 (-160) to be victorious against Reinier de Ridder, while Ridder is currently 5/4 (+130) to win if you fancy the small upset.
Renato Moicano is currently 4/9 (-230) to defeat Beneil Dariush, while Dariush is currently 17/10 (+170) to win if you fancy the upset.
Prelims
Rinya Nakamura is made a favourite at 1/4 (-400) to beat Muin Gafurov, while Gafurov is currently 3/1 (+300) to win if you fancy the big upset.
Jailton Almeida sits at 3/10 (-330) to come out the victor in a fight against Sergey Spivac, while Spivac is currently 12/5 (+240) to win if you fancy the upset.
Bogdan Guskov is marked at 3/5 (-170) to win against Johnny Walker, while Walker is currently 13/10 (+130) to win if you fancy the small upset.
Karol Rosa is currently 4/7 (-180) to be victorious against Ailin Perez, while Perez is currently 11/8 (+140) to win if you fancy the small upset.
Zachary Reese is made a favourite at 9/25 (-280) to defeat Sedriques Dumas, while Dumas is currently 11/5 (+220) to win if you fancy the upset.
Payton Talbott sits at 1/10 (-1000) to beat Raoni Barcelos, while Barcelos is currently 7/1 (+700) to win if you fancy the massive upset.
Benardo Sopaj is marked at 1/3 (-300) to come out the victor in a fight against Ricky Turcios, while Turcios is currently 9/4 (+230) to win if you fancy the upset.
Grant Dawson is currently 27/100 (-370) to win against Diego Ferreira, while Ferreira is currently 14/5 (+280) to win if you fancy the upset.
Tagir Ulanbekov is made a favourite at 2/5 (-250) to be victorious against Clayton Carpenter, while Carpenter is currently 39/20 (+200) to win if you fancy the upset.
Makhachev vs Tsarukyan Head To Head
Islam Makhachev steps into the octagon with a record of 26 wins, 1 loss and 0 draws, 5 of those wins coming by the way of knock out and 12 by submission.
Arman Tsarukyan will make his way to the cage with a record of 22 wins, 3 losses and 0 draws, 9 of those wins coming by knock out and 5 by submission.
The stats suggest Tsarukyan has a large advantage in power over Makhachev, boasting a 41% knock out percentage over Makhachev's 19%.
Islam Makhachev is the older man by 5 years, at 33 years old.
Makhachev has a height advantage of 3 inches over Tsarukyan. Despite this, Tsarukyan has a 2-inch reach advantage.
Makhachev is the more experienced professional fighter, having had 2 more fights, and made his debut in 2010, 5 years and 1 month earlier than Tsarukyan, whose first professional fight was in 2015. He has fought 4 more professional rounds, 59 to Tsarukyan's 55.
Makhachev vs Tsarukyan betting form
Makhachev has won all 5 of his most recent fights, stopping 2 opponents and going to the judges 3 times.
In his last fight, he won against Dustin Poirier at UFC 302 on 1st June 2024 by submission in the 5th round in their UFC Lightweight championship fight at Prudential Center, Newark, United States.
Previous to that, he had beaten Alexander Volkanovski at UFC 294 on 21st October 2023 by knockout in the 1st round in their UFC Lightweight championship fight at Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.
Going into that contest, he had defeated Alexander Volkanovski at UFC 284 on 11th February 2023 by unanimous decision in their UFC Lightweight championship fight at RAC Arena, Perth, Western Australia.
Before that, he was victorious against Charles Oliveira at UFC 280 on 22nd October 2022 by submission in the 2nd round in their UFC Lightweight championship fight at Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.
He had won against Bobby Green at UFC Fight Night on 26th February 2022 by knockout in the 1st round at UFC APEX, Las Vegas, United States.
Tsarukyan has beaten 4 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 2 of them, going the distance twice.
In his last fight, he defeated Charles Oliveira at UFC 300 on 13th April 2024 by split decision in their 3 round contest at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States.
Previous to that, he had defeated Beneil Dariush at UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan on 2nd December 2023 by knockout in the 1st round at Moody Center, Austin.
Going into that contest, he was victorious against Joaquim Silva at UFC Fight Night – Vettori vs. Cannonier on 17th June 2023 by knockout in the 3rd round at UFC Apex, Las Vegas.
Before that, he had won against Damir Ismagulov at UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland on 17th December 2022 by unanimous decision in their 3 round contest at UFC Apex, Las Vegas.
He had lost to Mateusz Gamrot at UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot on 25th June 2022 by unanimous decision in their 5 round contest at UFC APEX, Las Vegas.
Who's been more active?
In terms of recent activity, Arman Tsarukyan has been fighting more than Islam Makhachev.
Islam Makhachev last fought 7 months and 3 days ago, while Arman Tsarukyan's last outing was 8 months and 22 days ago.
Makhachev's last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 10 months and 9 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 6 months and 27 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 14 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 2.8 rounds on average.
Tsarukyan's last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 6 months and 10 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 6 months and 3 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 15 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 3 rounds on average.
