Gaethje vs Dawson

When is Gaethje vs Dawson?

Justin Gaethje could potentially take on Grant Dawson, in Autumn/Fall 2025.

The fight would be scheduled for 5 rounds in the Lightweight division, which means the weight limit would be 155 pounds (11.1 stone or 70.3 KG).

Gaethje vs Dawson stats

Justin Gaethje would step into the octagon with a record of 26 wins, 5 losses and 0 draws, 20 of those wins coming by the way of knock out and 1 by submission.

Grant Dawson would make his way to the cage with a record of 23 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw, 5 of those wins coming by knock out and 13 by submission.

The stats suggest Gaethje would have a massive power advantage over Dawson, boasting a 77% knock out percentage over Dawson's 22%.

If the fight goes to the ground, their records suggest Dawson would have a massive advantage over Gaethje, boasting a 57% submission rate over Gaethje's 4%.

Justin Gaethje is the older man by 5 years, at 36 years old.

Gaethje has a height advantage of 1 inch over Dawson. Despite this, Dawson has a 2-inch reach advantage.

Gaethje is currently the more experienced professional fighter, having had 5 more fights, and made his debut in 2011, 3 years earlier than Dawson, whose first professional fight was in 2014. He has fought 17 more professional rounds, 69 to Dawson's 52.

Gaethje vs Dawson form

Gaethje has beaten 3 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 1 of them, going to the judges twice.

In his last fight, he won against Rafael Fiziev at UFC 313 on 8th March 2025 by unanimous decision in their 3 round contest at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States.

Previous to that, he had lost to Max Holloway at UFC 300 on 13th April 2024 by knockout in the 5th round at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas.

Going into that contest, he had beaten Dustin Poirier at UFC 291 on 29th July 2023 by knockout in the 2nd round at Vivint Arena, Salt Lake City.

Before that, he had defeated Rafael Fiziev at UFC 286 on 18th March 2023 by majority decision in their 3 round contest at o2 Arena, London, United Kingdom.

He had been beaten by Charles Oliveira at UFC 274 on 7th May 2022 by submission in the 1st round in their UFC Lightweight championship fight at Jeunesse Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

Dawson has beaten 4 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 1 of them, going the distance 3 times.

In his last fight, he won against Diego Ferreira at UFC 311 on 18th January 2025 by unanimous decision in their 3 round contest at Intuit Dome, Los Angeles, United States.

Previous to that, he had won against Rafa Garcia at UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira on 12th October 2024 by knockout in the 2nd round at UFC Apex, Las Vegas.

Going into that contest, he had beaten Joe Solecki at UFC 302 on 1st June 2024 by unanimous decision in their 3 round contest at Prudential Center, Newark.

Before that, he had been defeated by Bobby Green at UFC Fight Night – Green vs Dawson on 7th October 2023 by knockout in the 1st round at UFC Apex, Las Vegas.

He had defeated Damir Ismagulov at UFC Fight Night – Strickland vs. Magomedov on 1st July 2023 by unanimous decision in their 3 round contest at UFC Apex, Las Vegas.

Activity check

In terms of recent activity, Grant Dawson has been fighting more than Justin Gaethje.

Justin Gaethje last fought 22 days ago, while Grant Dawson's last outing was 2 months and 12 days ago.

Gaethje's last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 10 months and 23 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 6 months and 30 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 14 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 2.8 rounds on average.

Dawson's last 5 fights have come over a period of 1 year, 8 months and 29 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 4 months and 7 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 12 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 2.4 rounds on average.

What are the odds on Gaethje vs Dawson?

Sorry, we couldn’t find any odds for Gaethje vs Dawson yet. If a contest doesn’t have odds initially after it is announced, bookmakers usually release them closer to the day of the fight.