Neal vs Garry

Who won Neal vs Garry?

Ian Machado Garry beat Geoff Neal by split decision in their 3 round contest during the main card of UFC 298, on Saturday 17th February 2024 at Honda Center in Anaheim.

The scorecards were announced as 30-27, 30-27, 29-28 in favor of the winner Ian Machado Garry.

The fight was scheduled to take place over 3 rounds in the Welterweight division, which meant the weight limit was 170 pounds (12.1 stone or 77.1 KG).

Neal vs Garry stats

Geoff Neal stepped into the octagon with a record of 15 wins, 5 losses and 0 draws, 9 of those wins coming by the way of knock out and 2 by submission.

Ian Machado Garry made his way to the cage with an unblemished record of 13 wins, 0 losses, and 0 draws, 7 of those wins coming by knock out and 1 by submission.

This was Geoff Neal's 12th fight in the UFC, having made his debut for the promotion in 2018. Ian Machado Garry marked his 10th fight for them, having made his own debut for the promotion in 2021.

Geoff Neal's UFC record stood at 8-4-0, while Ian Machado Garry's came in at 9-1-0.

The stats suggested Neal had a slight advantage in power over Garry, with a 60% knock out percentage over Garry's 54%.

If the fight went to the ground, their records suggested Neal had a slight advantage over Garry, with a 13% submission rate over Garry's 8%.

Geoff Neal was the older man by 7 years, at 34 years old.

Garry had a height advantage of 4 inches over Neal. Despite this, he had a 1-inch reach advantage.

Neal was the more experienced professional fighter, having had 7 more fights, and made his debut in 2012, 6 years and 5 months earlier than Garry, whose first professional fight was in 2019. He had fought 4 more professional rounds, 50 to Garry's 46.

Neal vs Garry form

Neal had beaten 3 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 2 of them, going to the judges once.

In his last fight before this contest, he had won against Rafael dos Anjos at UFC 308 on 26th October 2024 by knockout in the 1st round at Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.

Previous to that, he had lost to Ian Machado Garry at UFC 298 on 17th February 2024 by split decision in their 3 round contest at Honda Center, Anaheim, United States.

Going into that contest, he had been beaten by Shavkat Rakhmonov at UFC 285 on 4th March 2023 by submission in the 3rd round at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas.

Before that, he had beaten Vicente Luque at UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill on 6th August 2022 by knockout in the 3rd round at UFC APEX, Las Vegas.

He had defeated Santiago Ponzinibbio at UFC 269 on 11th December 2021 by split decision in their 3 round contest at UFC APEX, Las Vegas.

Garry had won all 5 of his most recent fights, stopping 2opponents and going the distance 3 times.

In his last fight leading up to this contest, he was victorious against Geoff Neal at UFC 298 on 17th February 2024 by split decision in their 3 round contest at Honda Center, Anaheim, United States.

Previous to that, he had won against Neil Magny at UFC 292 on 19th August 2023 by unanimous decision in their 3 round contest at TD Garden, Boston.

Going into that contest, he had beaten Daniel Rodriguez at UFC Fight Night – Rozenstruik vs. Almeida on 13th May 2023 by knockout in the 1st round at Spectrum Center, Charlotte.

Before that, he had defeated Kenan Song at UFC 285 on 4th March 2023 by knockout in the 3rd round at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas.

He was victorious against Gabe Green at UFC 276 on 2nd July 2022 by unanimous decision in their 3 round contest at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas.

Activity check

In terms of activity leading into the fight, Ian Machado Garry had been fighting more than Geoff Neal.

Going to this contest, Geoff Neal had last fought 8 months and 1 day ago, while Ian Machado Garry's last outing had been 1 year, 4 months and 10 days ago.

Neal's last 5 fights had come over a period of 3 years, 6 months and 16 days, meaning he had been fighting on average every 8 months and 15 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 13 rounds, meaning that they had lasted 2.6 rounds on average.

Garry's last 5 fights had come over a period of 2 years, 11 months and 25 days, meaning he had been fighting on average every 7 months and 6 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 13 rounds, meaning that they had lasted 2.6 rounds on average.

What were the odds on Neal vs Garry?

Geoff Neal was a 2/1 (+200) underdog going into the contest, while Ian Machado Garry made his way into the ring at 2/5 (-250) with oddsmakers.