Bookmakers made Khamzat Chimaev a favourite against Dricus Du Plessis when they face off in their fight on Saturday 16th August 2025 at UFC 319.
He is currently 11/20 (-180) to win the fight outright, while you can get 7/5 (+140) on Dricus Du Plessis if you fancy the small upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 61% chance of Chimaev winning while giving Plessis a 39% chance.
Chimaev opened as the favourite at 57/100 (-180).
Plessis opened at 3/2 (+150) which has got wider by -9/10 (+110).
The fight is scheduled for 5 rounds in the Middleweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 185 pounds (12.95 stones or 84.09 KG) on the day of the weigh-in.
This contest is for the UFC Middleweight championship.
Full UFC 319 Odds
Main Event
Khamzat Chimaev is currently 11/20 (-180) to beat Dricus Du Plessis, while Plessis is currently 7/5 (+140) to win if you fancy the small upset.
Prelims
Karine Silva is made a favourite at 2/7 (-340) to come out the victor in a fight against JJ Aldrich, while Aldrich is currently 12/5 (+240) to win if you fancy the upset.
Bryan Battle sits at 1/2 (-200) to win against Nursulton Ruziboev, while Ruziboev is currently 6/4 (+150) to win if you fancy the small upset.
Plessis vs Chimaev Head To Head
Dricus Du Plessis steps into the octagon with a record of 23 wins, 2 losses and 0 draws, 9 of those wins coming by the way of knock out and 11 by submission.
Khamzat Chimaev will make his way to the cage with an unblemished record of 14 wins, 0 losses, and 0 draws, 6 of those wins coming by knock out and 6 by submission.
The stats suggest Chimaev has a slight advantage in power over Plessis, with a 43% knock out percentage over Plessis' 39%.
Dricus Du Plessis is the same age as Khamzat Chimaev, at 31 years old.
Chimaev has a height advantage of 1 inch over Plessis. Despite this, he has a 1-inch reach advantage.
Plessis is the more experienced professional fighter, having had 11 more fights, and made his debut in 2013, 4 years and 10 months earlier than Chimaev, whose first professional fight was in 2018. He has fought 35 more professional rounds, 56 to Chimaev's 21.
Plessis vs Chimaev betting form
Plessis has won all 5 of his most recent fights, stopping 2 opponents and going to the judges 3 times.
In his last fight, he won against Sean Strickland at UFC 312 on 8th February 2025 by unanimous decision in their UFC Middleweight championship fight at Qudos Bank Arena, Sydney, Australia.
Previous to that, he had beaten Israel Adesanya at UFC 305 on 17th August 2024 by submission in the 4th round in their UFC Middleweight championship fight at RAC Arena, Perth, Western Australia.
Going into that contest, he had defeated Sean Strickland at UFC 297 on 20th January 2024 by split decision in their UFC Middleweight championship fight at Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, Canada.
Before that, he was victorious against Robert Whittaker at UFC 290 on 8th July 2023 by knockout in the 2nd round at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States.
He had won against Derek Brunson at UFC 285 on 4th March 2023 by knockout in the 2nd round at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas.
Chimaev remains undefeated as a professional.
In his last fight, he defeated Robert Whittaker at UFC 308 on 26th October 2024 by submission in the 1st round at Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.
Previous to that, he had defeated Kamaru Usman at UFC 294 on 21st October 2023 by majority decision in their 3 round contest at Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi.
Going into that contest, he was victorious against Kevin Holland at UFC 279 on 10th September 2022 by submission in the 1st round at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States.
Before that, he had won against Gilbert Burns at UFC 273 on 9th April 2022 by unanimous decision in their 3 round contest at VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena, Jacksonville.
He had beaten Jingliang Li at UFC 267 on 30th October 2021 by submission in the 1st round.
Who's been more active?
In terms of recent activity, Dricus Du Plessis has been fighting more than Khamzat Chimaev.
Dricus Du Plessis last fought 4 months and 26 days ago, while Khamzat Chimaev's last outing was 8 months and 8 days ago.
Plessis' last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years and 4 months, meaning he has been fighting on average every 5 months and 19 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 18 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 3.6 rounds on average.
Chimaev's last 5 fights have come over a period of 3 years, 8 months and 4 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 8 months and 25 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 9 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 1.8 rounds on average.
