Bookmakers made Dustin Poirier a slight favourite against Max Holloway when they meet in their bout on Saturday 19th July 2025 at UFC 318.
He is currently 4/5 (-130) to win the bout outright, while you can get 19/20 (-110) on Max Holloway if you fancy the slight upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 52% chance of Poirier winning while giving Holloway a 48% chance.
Poirier opened as the favourite at 10/11 (-110) however, that price has now got wider by 89/-100 (+110).
Holloway opened at 10/11 (-110) which has shorten by 26/-25 (+100).
The fight is scheduled for 5 rounds in the Lightweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 155 pounds (10.85 stones or 70.45 KG) on the day of the weigh-in.
Full UFC 318 Odds
Main Event
Dustin Poirier is currently 4/5 (-130) to beat Max Holloway, while Holloway is currently 19/20 (-110) to win if you fancy the slight upset.
Main Card
Brendan Allen is made a favourite at 4/11 (-280) to come out the victor in a fight against Marvin Vettori, while Vettori is currently 2/1 (+200) to win if you fancy the upset.
Holloway vs Poirier Head To Head
Max Holloway steps into the octagon with a record of 26 wins, 8 losses and 0 draws, 12 of those wins coming by the way of knock out and 2 by submission.
Dustin Poirier will make his way to the cage with a record of 30 wins, 9 losses and 0 draws, 15 of those wins coming by knock out and 8 by submission.
The stats suggest Poirier has a slight advantage in power over Holloway, with a 50% knock out percentage over Holloway's 46%.
Max Holloway is the younger man by 3 years, at 33 years old.
Holloway has a height advantage of 2 inches over Poirier. Despite this, Poirier has a 4-inch reach advantage.
Holloway is arguably the less experienced fighter, having had 5 fewer fights, and made his debut in 2010, 1 year and 3 months later than Poirier, whose first professional fight was in 2009. He has fought 24 more professional rounds, 113 to Poirier's 89.
Holloway vs Poirier betting form
Holloway has beaten 3 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 2 of them, going to the judges once.
In his last fight, he lost to Ilia Topuria at UFC 308 on 26th October 2024 by knockout in the 3rd round in their UFC Featherweight championship fight at Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.
Previous to that, he had won against Justin Gaethje at UFC 300 on 13th April 2024 by knockout in the 5th round at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States.
Going into that contest, he had beaten Chan Sung Jung at UFC Fight Night – Holloway vs. Korean Zombie on 26th August 2023 by knockout in the 3rd round at Singapore Indoor Stadium, Kallang, Singapore.
Before that, he had defeated Arnold Allen at UFC Fight Night – Holloway vs. Allen on 15th April 2023 by unanimous decision in their 5 round contest at T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, United States.
He had been beaten by Alexander Volkanovski at UFC 276 on 2nd July 2022 by unanimous decision in their UFC Featherweight championship fight at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas.
Poirier has beaten 2 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 1 of them, going the distance once.
In his last fight, he was defeated by Islam Makhachev at UFC 302 on 1st June 2024 by submission in the 5th round in their UFC Lightweight championship fight at Prudential Center, Newark, United States.
Previous to that, he was victorious against Benoit Saint-Denis at UFC 299 on 9th March 2024 by knockout in the 2nd round at Kaseya Center, Miami.
Going into that contest, he had lost to Justin Gaethje at UFC 291 on 29th July 2023 by knockout in the 2nd round at Vivint Arena, Salt Lake City.
Before that, he had won against Michael Chandler at UFC 281 on 12th November 2022 by submission in the 3rd round at Madison Square Garden, New York City.
He had been beaten by Charles Oliveira at UFC 269 on 11th December 2021 by submission in the 3rd round in their UFC Lightweight championship fight at UFC APEX, Las Vegas.
Who's been more active?
In terms of recent activity, Max Holloway has been fighting more than Dustin Poirier.
Max Holloway last fought 6 months and 21 days ago, while Dustin Poirier's last outing was 11 months and 16 days ago.
Holloway's last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 10 months and 15 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 6 months and 29 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 21 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 4.2 rounds on average.
Poirier's last 5 fights have come over a period of 3 years, 5 months and 6 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 8 months and 7 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 15 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 3 rounds on average.
