Bookmakers made Rodolfo Bellato a big favourite against Paul Craig when they come head-to-head in their clash on Saturday 17th May 2025 at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales.
He is currently 1/6 (-590) to win the clash outright, while you can get 4/1 (+400) on Paul Craig if you fancy the big upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 82% chance of Bellato winning while giving Craig a 18% chance.
Bellato opened as the favourite at 1/6 (-590).
Craig opened at 4/1 (+400).
The fight is scheduled for 3 rounds in the Light Heavyweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 205 pounds (14.35 stones or 93.18 KG) on the day of the weigh-in.
Full UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales Odds
Main Event
Rodolfo Bellato is currently 1/6 (-590) to beat Paul Craig, while Craig is currently 4/1 (+400) to win if you fancy the big upset.
Main Card
Mairon Santos is made a favourite at 3/4 (-130) to come out the victor in a fight against Sodiq Yusuff, while Yusuff is currently 21/20 (+100) to win if you fancy the slight upset.
Nursulton Ruziboev sits at 1/3 (-300) to win against Dustin Stoltzfus, while Stoltzfus is currently 23/10 (+230) to win if you fancy the upset.
Melquizael Costa is marked at 1/2 (-200) to be victorious against Julian Erosa, while Erosa is currently 8/5 (+160) to win if you fancy the small upset.
Prelims
Matheus Camilo is currently 11/25 (-230) to defeat Gabe Green, while Green is currently 9/5 (+180) to win if you fancy the upset.
Thiago Moises is made a favourite at 9/10 (-110) to beat Jared Gordon, while Gordon is currently 9/10 (-110) to win if you fancy the incredible upset.
Yadier DelValle sits at 2/9 (-450) to come out the victor in a fight against Connor Matthews, while Matthews is currently 33/10 (+330) to win if you fancy the big upset.
Luana Santos is marked at 16/25 (-160) to win against Tainara Lisboa, while Lisboa is currently 5/4 (+130) to win if you fancy the small upset.
Denise Gomes is currently 1/6 (-590) to be victorious against Elise Reed, while Reed is currently 21/5 (+420) to win if you fancy the big upset.
Hyun Sung Park is made a favourite at 4/7 (-180) to defeat Carlos Hernandez, while Hernandez is currently 11/8 (+140) to win if you fancy the small upset.
Tecia Pennington sits at 1/4 (-400) to beat Luana Pinheiro, while Pinheiro is currently 29/10 (+290) to win if you fancy the big upset.
Craig vs Bellato Head To Head
Paul Craig steps into the octagon with a record of 17 wins, 9 losses and 1 draw, 4 of those wins coming by the way of knock out and 13 by submission.
Rodolfo Bellato will make his way to the cage with a record of 12 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw, 7 of those wins coming by knock out and 4 by submission.
The stats suggest Bellato has a massive power advantage over Craig, boasting a 58% knock out percentage over Craig's 24%.
Paul Craig is the older man by 37 years, at 37 years old.
Craig is arguably the more experienced fighter, having had 12 more fights, and made his debut in 2013, 11 years and 8 months later than Bellato, whose first professional fight was in . He has fought 21 more professional rounds, 46 to Bellato's 25.
Craig vs Bellato betting form
Paul Craig has stopped 1 of his last 5 opponents.
In his last fight, he lost to Bo Nickal at UFC 309 on 16th November 2024 by unanimous decision in their 3 round contest at Madison Square Garden, New York City, United States.
Previous to that, he had been beaten by Caio Borralho at UFC 301 on 4th May 2024 by knockout in the 2nd round at Jeunesse Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Going into that contest, he had been defeated by Brendan Allen at UFC Fight Night – Allen vs Craig on 18th November 2023 by submission in the 3rd round at UFC Apex, Las Vegas, United States.
Before that, he had won against André Muniz at UFC Fight Night London – Aspinall vs. Tybura on 22nd July 2023 by knockout in the 2nd round at O2 Arena, London, United Kingdom.
He had lost to Johnny Walker at UFC 283 on 21st January 2023 by knockout in the 1st round at Jeunesse Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Bellato has beaten 4 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 3 of them, going the distance once.
In his last fight, he drew with Jimmy Crute at UFC 312 on 8th February 2025 by majority draw in their 3 round contest at Qudos Bank Arena, Sydney, Australia.
Previous to that, he had beaten Ihor Potieria at UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan on 2nd December 2023 by knockout in the 2nd round at Moody Center, Austin, United States.
Going into that contest, he had defeated Murtaza Talha at Contender Series 2023 on 3rd October 2023 by knockout in the 2nd round at UFC Apex, Las Vegas.
Before that, he was victorious against Acacio dos Santos at LFA 159 on 27th May 2023 by unanimous decision in their 5 round contest at CIDE Casa Branca Sports Complex, Caraguatatuba, Brazil.
He had won against Mateus Messaros at LFA 154 on 10th March 2023 by knockout in the 1st round at Ginásio do Polvilho, Cajamar.
Who's been more active?
In terms of recent activity, Rodolfo Bellato has been fighting more than Paul Craig.
Paul Craig last fought 5 months and 28 days ago, while Rodolfo Bellato's last outing was 3 months and 6 days ago.
Craig's last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 3 months and 23 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 5 months and 17 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 11 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 2.2 rounds on average.
Bellato's last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 2 months and 4 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 5 months and 8 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 13 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 2.6 rounds on average.
What’s the Latest Time I Can Bet on Craig vs Bellato Pre Fight?
The fighters are expected to walk out at around 12:40 AM UTC , which is 8:40 PM EST or 5:40 PM PST on the West Coast of America, or 1:40 AM BST in the UK.
