Bookmakers made Joaquin Buckley a favourite against Colby Covington when they meet in their bout on Saturday 14th December 2024 at UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley.
He is currently 8/15 (-190) to win the bout outright, while you can get 6/4 (+150) on Colby Covington if you fancy the small upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 63% chance of Buckley winning while giving Covington a 37% chance.
Buckley opened as the favourite at 29/50 (-170) however, that price has now got wider by -19/20 (+110).
Covington opened at 7/5 (+140) which has shorten by 11/-10 (+90).
The fight is scheduled for 5 rounds in the Welterweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 170 pounds (11.9 stones or 77.27 KG) on the day of the weigh-in.
Full UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley Odds
Main Event
Joaquin Buckley is currently 8/15 (-190) to beat Colby Covington, while Covington is currently 6/4 (+150) to win if you fancy the small upset.
Covington vs Buckley Head To Head
Colby Covington steps into the octagon with a record of 17 wins, 4 losses and 0 draws, 4 of those wins coming by the way of knock out and 4 by submission.
Joaquin Buckley will make his way to the cage with a record of 20 wins, 6 losses and 0 draws, 14 of those wins coming by knock out.
The stats suggest Buckley has a massive power advantage over Covington, boasting a 70% knock out percentage over Covington's 24%.
Colby Covington is the older man by 6 years, at 36 years old.
Covington has a height advantage of 1 inch over Buckley. Despite this, Buckley has a 4-inch reach advantage.
Covington is arguably the more experienced fighter, having had 5 fewer fights, and made his debut in 2012, 2 years and 7 months earlier than Buckley, whose first professional fight was in 2014. He has fought 10 more professional rounds, 68 to Buckley's 58.
Covington vs Buckley betting form
Covington has beaten 2 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 1 of them, going to the judges once.
In his last fight, he lost to Leon Edwards at UFC 296 on 16th December 2023 by unanimous decision in their UFC Welterweight championship fight at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States.
Previous to that, he had won against Jorge Masvidal at UFC 272 on 5th March 2022 by unanimous decision in their 5 round contest at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas.
Going into that contest, he had been beaten by Kamaru Usman at UFC 268 on 6th November 2021 by unanimous decision in their UFC Welterweight championship fight at Madison Square Garden, New York City.
Before that, he had beaten Tyron Woodley at UFC Vegas 11 on 19th September 2020 by knockout in the 5th round at UFC APEX, Las Vegas.
He had been defeated by Kamaru Usman at UFC 245 on 14th December 2019 by knockout in the 5th round in their UFC Welterweight championship fight at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas.
Buckley has won all 5 of his most recent fights, stopping 3opponents and going the distance twice.
In his last fight, he defeated Stephen Thompson at UFC 307 on 5th October 2024 by knockout in the 3rd round at Vivint Arena, Salt Lake City, United States.
Previous to that, he was victorious against Nursulton Ruziboev at UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento on 11th May 2024 by unanimous decision in their 3 round contest at Enterprise Center, St. Louis.
Going into that contest, he had won against Vicente Luque at UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot on 30th March 2024 by knockout in the 2nd round at Boardwalk Hall, Atlantic City.
Before that, he had beaten Alex Morono at UFC Fight Night – Green vs Dawson on 7th October 2023 by unanimous decision in their 3 round contest at UFC Apex, Las Vegas.
He had defeated Andre Fialho at UFC Fight Night – Pennington vs. Aldana 2 on 20th May 2023 by knockout in the 2nd round at UFC Apex, Las Vegas.
Who's been more active?
In terms of recent activity, Joaquin Buckley has been fighting more than Colby Covington.
Colby Covington last fought 11 months and 6 days ago, while Joaquin Buckley's last outing was 1 month and 17 days ago.
Covington's last 5 fights have come over a period of 4 years, 11 months and 8 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 11 months and 27 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 25 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 5 rounds on average.
Buckley's last 5 fights have come over a period of 1 year, 6 months and 2 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 3 months and 20 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 13 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 2.6 rounds on average.
