Bookmakers made Alexandre Pantoja a strong favourite against Kai Asakura when they square off in their contest on Saturday 7th December 2024 at UFC 310.
He is currently 21/50 (-240) to win the contest outright, while you can get 37/20 (+190) on Kai Asakura if you fancy the upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 67% chance of Pantoja winning while giving Asakura a 33% chance.
Pantoja opened as the favourite at 2/5 (-250).
Asakura opened at 2/1 (+200) which has got wider by -17/20 (+120).
The fight is scheduled for 5 rounds in the Flyweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 125 pounds (8.75 stones or 56.82 KG) on the day of the weigh-in.
This contest is for the UFC Flyweight championship.
Full UFC 310 Odds
Main Event
Alexandre Pantoja is currently 21/50 (-240) to beat Kai Asakura, while Asakura is currently 37/20 (+190) to win if you fancy the upset.
Shavkat Rakhmonov is made a favourite at 2/7 (-340) to come out the victor in a fight against Ian Machado Garry, while Garry is currently 13/5 (+260) to win if you fancy the upset.
Main Card
Ciryl Gane sits at 2/5 (-250) to win against Alexander Volkov, while Volkov is currently 39/20 (+200) to win if you fancy the upset.
Nate Landwehr is marked at 3/5 (-170) to be victorious against Doo Ho Choi, while Choi is currently 13/10 (+130) to win if you fancy the small upset.
Prelims
Dominick Reyes is currently 3/10 (-330) to defeat Anthony Smith, while Smith is currently 5/2 (+250) to win if you fancy the upset.
Chase Hooper is made a favourite at 1/8 (-770) to beat Clay Guida, while Guida is currently 21/4 (+530) to win if you fancy the big upset.
Max Griffin sits at 8/13 (-160) to come out the victor in a fight against Michael Chiesa, while Chiesa is currently 5/4 (+130) to win if you fancy the small upset.
Movsar Evloev is marked at 11/25 (-230) to win against Aljamain Sterling, while Sterling is currently 9/5 (+180) to win if you fancy the upset.
Joshua Van is currently 8/13 (-160) to be victorious against Cody Durden, while Durden is currently 13/10 (+130) to win if you fancy the small upset.
Bryan Battle is made a favourite at 4/11 (-280) to defeat Randy Brown, while Brown is currently 41/20 (+200) to win if you fancy the upset.
Themba Gorimbo sits at 12/25 (-210) to beat Vicente Luque, while Luque is currently 13/8 (+160) to win if you fancy the small upset.
Pantoja vs Asakura Head To Head
Alexandre Pantoja steps into the octagon with a record of 28 wins, 5 losses and 0 draws, 8 of those wins coming by the way of knock out and 10 by submission.
Kai Asakura will make his way to the cage with a record of 20 wins, 4 losses and 0 draws, 12 of those wins coming by knock out and 3 by submission.
The stats suggest Asakura has a massive power advantage over Pantoja, boasting a 60% knock out percentage over Pantoja's 29%.
Alexandre Pantoja is the older man by 3 years, at 34 years old.
Asakura has a height advantage of 3 inches over Pantoja.
Pantoja is the more experienced professional fighter, having had 9 more fights, and made his debut in 2007, 5 years and 1 month earlier than Asakura, whose first professional fight was in 2012. He has fought 37 more professional rounds, 80 to Asakura's 43.
Pantoja vs Asakura betting form
Alexandre Pantoja has beaten 5 of his last 5 opponents.
In his last fight, he won against Steve Erceg at UFC 301 on 4th May 2024 by unanimous decision in their UFC Flyweight championship fight at Jeunesse Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Previous to that, he had beaten Brandon Royval at UFC 296 on 16th December 2023 by unanimous decision in their UFC Flyweight championship fight at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States.
Going into that contest, he had defeated Brandon Moreno at UFC 290 on 8th July 2023 by split decision in their UFC Flyweight championship fight at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas.
Before that, he was victorious against Alex Perez at UFC 277 on 30th July 2022 by submission in the 1st round at Madison Square Garden, New York City.
He had won against Brandon Royval at UFC Vegas 34 on 21st August 2021 by submission in the 2nd round at UFC APEX, Enterprise.
Asakura has beaten 4 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 2 of them, going the distance twice.
In his last fight, he defeated Juan Archuleta at RIZIN 45 on 31st December 2023 by knockout in the 2nd round in their Rizin Bantamweight championship fight at Saitama Super Arena, Saitama, Japan.
Previous to that, he had defeated Yuki Motoya at RIZIN 42 on 6th May 2023 by knockout in the 3rd round at Tokyo Ariake Arena, Tokyo.
Going into that contest, he was victorious against Kenta Takizawa at RIZIN 33 on 31st December 2021 by unanimous decision in their 3 round contest at Saitama Super Arena(さいたまスーパーアリーナ), Saitama.
Before that, he had lost to Hiromasa Ougikubo at RIZIN 33 on 30th December 2021 by unanimous decision in their 3 round contest at Saitama Super Arena(さいたまスーパーアリーナ), Saitama.
He had won against Alan Yoshihiro Yamaniha at RIZIN 30 on 19th September 2021 by unanimous decision in their 3 round contest at Saitama Super Arena(さいたまスーパーアリーナ), Saitama.
Who's been more active?
In terms of recent activity, Kai Asakura has been fighting more than Alexandre Pantoja.
Alexandre Pantoja last fought 6 months and 19 days ago, while Kai Asakura's last outing was 10 months and 23 days ago.
Pantoja's last 5 fights have come over a period of 3 years, 3 months and 2 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 7 months and 26 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 18 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 3.6 rounds on average.
Asakura's last 5 fights have come over a period of 3 years, 2 months and 4 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 7 months and 20 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 14 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 2.8 rounds on average.
What’s the Latest Time I Can Bet on Pantoja vs Asakura Pre Fight?
The fighters are expected to walk out at around 6:25 AM UTC , which is 1:25 AM EST or 10:25 PM PST on the West Coast of America, or 6:25 AM GMT in the UK.
